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Ignore the Fed at Your Own Peril

Is all the attention to the Fed warranted, or is it a waste of time for advisors to monitor monetary policy developments?

The financial and investment news media has a myopic obsession with the Federal Reserve and monetary policy. Conjecture on potential interest rate moves has even been quantified with the CME’s Fed Watch Tool, which compiles the view on interest rates based upon Fed funds futures contract prices. Will it or won’t it raise rates? Will the increase be 75 basis points or 100 basis points? The financial markets seem to react to nuances in Fed Chairman Jay Powell’s remarks or those of regional Fed governors, leading up to or following Fed announcements.

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